Balance Sheets Deteriorate: Economy to Suffer
The Federal Reserve released its quarterly flow of funds report last week. The Fed’s flow of funds report is one of the most valuable economic data sets kept by the government. It is a treasure trove of financial information on the household, corporate, and government sectors of the economy. The most... Read the full story
The Quiet Bull Market in Oil
While the world’s attention has been focused on Europe, the price of oil has risen more than 33% from its October low. West Texas Intermediate Crude is now trading above $100 per barrel. Much of the rally in West Texas crude is due to technical factors as Brent crude, which is more of a global benchmark... Read the full story
Eurocrats Cry Wolf
It seems as though the half-life of euro-zone bailouts is getting shorter. It was only a month ago that policy makers announced a bailout plan that was supposed to put an end to the region’s debt crisis once and for all. Admittedly, the details of the plan were vague and it lacked credibility, but... Read the full story
Are Stocks the Best Long-Term Investment?
The two-decade bull market in stocks that ended in 2000 convinced a generation of investors that stocks are the best long-term investment. Dow 36,000 and Stocks for the Long Run became cocktail-party fodder. There is no questioning that stocks put up some impressive numbers in the 1980s and 1990s. From... Read the full story
Not Your Father’s Stock Market
This is not your father’s stock market. Over the last 10 years, the structure of the U.S. equity market has changed drastically. Gone are the days when the NYSE and its specialists dominated stock market trading. Today, as many as 50 different venues in the U.S. trade equities. Now, almost all stock... Read the full story
A Striking Divergence
A striking divergence has emerged in global financial markets in recent weeks. During July and August as the euro-area sovereign debt crisis intensified and spreads on Spanish, Italian, and even French bonds rose, U.S. stocks plunged (point A on chart). After the European Central Bank restarted their... Read the full story
A Simple Recipe for Beating the Market 3 to 1
Over more than eight decades of stock market history, a dividend focused approach has been a winning investment strategy. Consider that if you invested $100 in the stock market in 1927—as measured here by a portfolio of large-capitalization stocks— today your portfolio would be worth $190,000. A... Read the full story
Netflix: The Risk of High Expectations
Most of you are no doubt familiar with Netflix—the leading DVD and video-streaming rental business in America. Up until recently, Netflix was a high flyer—a momentum stock. From year-end 2009 to June 2011, the shares rose over 375%—the highest return in the S&P 500. During the company’s 18-month... Read the full story
Home Prices Tumble and Confidence Plunges
The commerce department released September new home sales yesterday. The number of new homes sold in September came in at an annual rate of 313,000—13,000 more than economists’ average estimate. But new home prices tumbled to a post-bubble low. The average price of a new home in the U.S. fell to... Read the full story
Did the Fed Just Signal QE3?
Are you ready for another round of reckless money printing from the most activist Federal Reserve in U.S. history? Last week, the doves (easy money advocates) on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) started laying the groundwork for a third round of quantitative easing. Is that a tacit admission... Read the full story
