My goal for you with my monthly RAGE Gauge is to provide you with a quick reading of how risk is being perceived right now—how risk is being interpreted. In my line of work, there is never enough attention given to downside protection—keeping what you have—too much energy is wasted thinking about keeping up with the other guy. In that world, the grass is always greener because of: How much “they” have, where their kids go to school, what they do for a living, and where they live. “They,” take up an enormous amount of energy. A more efficient use of energy focuses on what you do to … [Read more...]
What do I think of Bitcoin? Part I
In light of recent events, it's worth reexamining this series I originally posted November 15, 2017. I’ve been asked the question “What do you think of Bitcoin,” as much as any question I’ve received about my website www.yoursurvivalguy.com or my series on the S&P 500. I’ve been in the weeds studying bitcoin (the currency) and Bitcoin (blockchain tech) and I’ll tell you, I haven’t had that “Aha!” religious-like moment experienced by, I’m told, its cult of followers. Count me in the “still skeptical” camp, with a distinction. Bitcoin, the technology, or blockchain, is here to stay … [Read more...]
The Truth Behind the S&P 500: Part IV
This is the time of year when you need to be extra careful about what you invest in, especially when you’re buying a so-called passive index fund that tracks the S&P 500. I have many concerns about the S&P 500 index approach, as I point out here, here, and here. Add one more issue to the list: “Passive” investors paying for someone else’s actions. Recently, the PNC S&P 500 Index Fund announced it will pay out $4.19 in cap gains per share, as pointed out in by Jason Zweig in his weekly WSJ column The Intelligent Investor. “This week, the fund’s per-share value was around … [Read more...]
You’ve Read the Last Issue of Intelligence Report: Back to Investors Yield: Part II
“Well I remember the mood of euphoria that gripped the stock market back in the holiday season of year-end 1965,” writes Dick Young in his September 1987 issue of Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report. “I had just entered the investment business and was a broker at a Boston based member firm of the New Your Stock Exchange. It was an exciting period. The market had climbed by nearly 50% in a three-year period end 1965, and investors were spending their profits literally before they were booked. It was a period of casino mentality—no one could lose. The party ended with a thud, and the … [Read more...]
You’ve Read the Last Issue of Intelligence Report: Back to Investors Yield
“Well I remember the mood of euphoria that gripped the stock market back in the holiday season of year-end 1965,” writes Dick Young in his September 1987 issue of Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report. “I had just entered the investment business and was a broker at a Boston based member firm of the New Your Stock Exchange. It was an exciting period. The market had climbed by nearly 50% in a three-year period end 1965, and investors were spending their profits literally before they were booked. It was a period of casino mentality—no one could lose. The party ended with a thud, and the … [Read more...]
What You Need to Know about Food Storage and Data-Analytics: Think Amazon’d
As Hurricane Frances was barreling across the Caribbean threatening a direct hit on Florida’s Atlantic coast in 2004, “Residents made for higher ground, but far away, in Bentonville, Ark., executives at Wal-Mart Stores decided that the situation offered a great opportunity for one of their newest data-driven weapons…predictive technology,” reported the New York Times. “A week ahead of the storm’s landfall, Linda M. Dillmans, Wal-Mart’s chief information officer, pressed her staff to come up with forecasts based on what had happened when Hurricane Charley struck several weeks earlier. Backed … [Read more...]
The Market for Quarterbacks Looks Bullish to Me
As you can see below, it’s good to be a quarterback in the NFL. Here are some of the top NFL salaries at quarterback position this year: It will be interesting to see what type of contract the 49ers offer former Patriots backup Jimmy Garoppollo. Keeping him on the Patriots' roster, in the end, was too expensive—to the tune of twenty some odd million dollars a year—to wear a headset. OverTheCap.com's Jason Fitzgerald (as pointed out by Ben Volin of the Boston Globe) believes that the 49ers will likely get Garoppolo for around $21 million next year which is what Brock Osweiler got … [Read more...]
What the Tax Cut Means to Me? The Swamp is Alive and Well
So much for that tax cut we’ve all been hoping for—it looks like the swamp in Washington is alive and well. If this is a tax-cut for the rich, imagine what a tax increase would look like. Don’t get me started. And for all those saying this is a tax cut for the rich, well, the last time I checked you need “money” to get a tax cut—too many Americans have no skin in the game. Americans who I work with—the successful Americans like you—are either still working and saving for retirement, or are already retired and could use a break. Couples in their 50s saving for retirement? Ha! Finally, … [Read more...]
The Truth Behind the S&P 500, Part III
“Welcome aboard!” For some reason, maybe it’s because of all the cruise ships that have visited Newport this Fall, I’m thinking about the S&P 500 as this huge cruise ship. Imagine the guests are common stocks, and to go ashore everyone is assigned to a small water taxi based on their size, or market-cap. The biggest companies, are in one water taxi. It barely floats from all their weight. Imagine that sinking water taxi, with its bow barely above water, steaming to shore with its five biggest guests: Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google, and Microsoft. That water taxi is followed by the … [Read more...]
Do You Know Dick Young’s Investment North Star?
As more money piles into stocks, there’s never been a better time to get acquainted with Dick Young’s investment North Star, the Treasury bill. Backed by the full-faith credit pledge of the United States government, the T-bill is your risk-free rate of return. To see the chart, click here, and roll your finger, left to right, from the mid-80s to today. Do you see a problem with today’s investment environment? It’s a lot different from when Dick Young began writing to you, as I explain when you click on the chart link above. Originally posted at Yoursurvivalguy.com. … [Read more...]
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