Jack be nimble, Jack be quick. Jack jumped over the…you know how it goes. As investors stomp their feet because stocks are going down (the horror), let’s not forget what’s happening to bonds. Anyone who reached for yield on the 30-year Treasury is learning about duration—basically, for every one percent increase in rates, bond prices drop, in percentage terms, by the years of maturity. In other words, if rates go up, long-term bonds get killed by a factor many times worse than short-term bonds. It’s pretty easy to hold short-term bonds to maturity, in times like these, and handle the … [Read more...]

In Deep Survival, Who Lives, Who Dies, and Why, author Laurence Gonzales explains, “The events that we call ‘accidents’ do not just happen. There is not some vector of pain that causes them. People have to assemble the systems that make them happen. Even then, nothing may happen for a long time.” In 1960, when MIT meteorologist Edward Lorenz was modeling weather systems, he discovered a tiny change in the initial state (1 part in 1,000), explains Gonzales, was enough to produce totally different weather patterns. It became known as the Butterfly Effect, “the notion that a butterfly stirring … [Read more...]

You know that getting saving for your grandchild is the best thing you can do as a grandparent. You've read my recommendations on Roth IRAs and UGMAs for your grandkids. Christmas is a great time to save for your grandkids, but any time will do when you're funding a tax-free savings plan for your grandchild. In Kiplinger, Mary Kane lays out the basics of seeding a Roth IRA for a grandchild, writing (abridged): Contributions to Roth IRAs give grandchildren "a huge head start," says Jennifer Failla, a certified financial planner with Strada Wealth Management, in Austin, Tex. Grandchildren … [Read more...]

Happy Friday, it’s almost five o’clock. Hang in there. This week we have a lot to talk about, but first, I have to say time flies. With my daughter in college and a son almost there, I feel a little older. A client friend told me about a conversation he had on a milestone birthday. “Dad, I can’t believe I’m 65,” he said. “How do you think I feel?” His dad responded, “I have a son on social security.” Aren’t we always in our mid-thirties mentally? Time flies. (If you want it to slow down, try not drinking for a month, go on a diet, or go jogging.) When I was fresh out of Babson … [Read more...]

Are you aligned with a money gathering business, or are you aligned with a money manager? The money-gathering business is all about bigness. They tell you all about how big they are when all you care about is, “how are you going to help me?” Welcome to the world where being big—whether it’s big tech or big money—makes you just a cog in the wheel. Where, for example, you sign up for Facebook or use Google for “free” and come to realize, “anything that’s free means I’m the product.” They’re selling you out. It’s no different from when money guys look to upsell you down the river. Look at the … [Read more...]

In speaking with a prospective client yesterday, he told me he’s been in Richard C. Young’s Maximizers portfolio for years. He said he uses an advisor but told him, “Here’s what I want to own, can you do it for me?” And he did. Fast forward—after making a big contribution to the account this year, his “guy” wants to put the money in some hedge fund deal. My new client said, “Don’t do a thing.” The “guy” was chasing money–chasing money with other people’s money. What’s there to lose, right? In times like these, you need to protect your assets like they’re the last ones you’ll ever … [Read more...]

How did you learn how to make money? In reviewing a package of financial documents with a prospective client last week, he included his social security estimates. It was like finding a piece of gold as far as I was concerned. Why? Because it showed me that he began working at age 16. I was able to see what he made of himself during a lifetime of work. It’s better than reading a best seller. I said to him, “It’s nice to see how much you’ve been able to save all these years, but what stands out the most is I see you started working when you were 16-years old.” He replied, “I guess that’s what … [Read more...]

If you’re not a client of mine, and know someone that’s loaded with tech stocks, help them take a look at the overlap in their portfolio. Have them look at their mutual funds and ETFs, and read the prospectus. Look at the top ten holdings. Chances are they’re all loaded with the same small group of GROWTH stocks. Remember, even trees don’t grow to the sky. There’s a shelf life, there’s a limit. If you stick with a VALUE approach (you are if you’re with me) then you’re building in discipline, like a New Year’s resolution, by sticking to a plan. Combine this approach with the Prudent Man rule, … [Read more...]