Young Research & Publishing Inc.

Investment Research Since 1978

Disclosure

  • About Us
    • Contributors
    • Archives
    • Dick Young’s Safe America
    • The Final Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
    • Dick Young’s Research Key: Anecdotal Evidence Gathering
    • Crisis at Vanguard
  • Investment Analysis
    • Bonds
    • Currencies and Gold
    • Dividend Investing
    • ETFs & Funds
    • Investment Strategy
    • Retirement Investing
    • Stocks
    • The Efficient Frontier
  • Investment Counsel
  • Dynamic Maximizers®
  • Retirement Compounders®
  • Free Email Signup

Herd Immunity by April?

February 22, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

By LL_studio @ Shutterstock.com

COVID-19 may be entering its final days. According to one medical expert writing in the WSJ, the U.S may see herd immunity by April. Dr. Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, writes:

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?

In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.

Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.

There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

Read more here.

Share this:

  • Email
  • Twitter
  • Facebook

You Might Also Like:

  • Record Hiring in April
  • Former McDonald’s CEO: Americans Have Won
  • GNMA Update and My April Rage Gauge
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. was ranked #5 in CNBC's 2021 Financial Advisor Top 100. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
Latest posts by Jeremy Jones, CFA (see all)
  • Are Google, Amazon, and Microsoft About to Crash This Specialized Real Estate Market? - June 29, 2022
  • Regulators’ Bungled Attempts to Cut Emissions Drove Oil Prices Higher - June 28, 2022
  • What Happens to Your Passwords When You Die? - June 27, 2022

Search Young Research

Most Popular

  • Here’s Why You Need a 15-Year Retirement Investment Plan
  • Will the Fed Stick to Its Course?
  • The Power of a Compound Interest Table
  • RECESSION? Dow 25,000, $8 Gas, Rising Interest Rates, Spell Mid-term Crack Up
  • Investing During a Recession
  • Why Work When Taxes Take It All?
  • Vanguard Wellesley (VWINX) vs. Wellington (VWELX): Which Fund is Best?
  • Swiss National Bank Surprises World with Rate Hike
  • Is the Great Job Boom Over?
  • Kellogg Cuts Loose with Split Plan

Don’t Miss

Default Risk Among the Many Concerns with Annuities

Risk and Reward: An Efficient Frontier

How to be a Billionaire: Proven Strategies from the Titans of Wealth

Could this Be the Vanguard GNMA Winning Edge?

Cryptocosm and Life After Google

Warning: Avoid Mutual Fund Year End Distributions

Is Gold a Good Long-term Investment?

How to Invest in Gold

Vanguard Wellington (VWELX): The Original Balanced Fund

What is the Best Gold ETF for Investing and Trading?

Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock: The Only True Dividend King

The Dividend King of the North

You’ll Love This if You’re Dreaming of an Active Retirement Life

RSS The Latest at Richardcyoung.com

  • An Assault on America’s Central Core
  • Hillary Clinton Claws at Relevance by Publicly Insulting Clarence Thomas
  • RURAL RENAISSANCE: America Finds the Country Again
  • The Best Investment Strategy is Simple, Like Analog Music
  • RED WAVE COMING? Americans Fear the Future of Biden’s Economy
  • Biden’s Approval Lower Now than Trump’s Was after January 6, 2021
  • With a Nod from Turkey, Finland and Sweden Speed Toward NATO Membership
  • 10th AMENDMENT: Dobbs Decision a Win for States’ Rights
  • What Just Happened? Fixing Its Historic Mistake
  • Why Work When Taxes Take It All?

About Us

  • About Young Research
  • Archives
  • Contributors

Our Partners

  • Richard C. Young & Co.
  • Richardcyoung.com

Copyright © 2022 | Terms & Conditions

 

Loading Comments...
 

    loading Cancel
    Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
    Email check failed, please try again
    Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.