Young Research & Publishing Inc.

Investment Research Since 1978

Disclosure

  • About Us
    • Contributors
    • Archives
    • The Final Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
    • Dick Young’s Research Key: Anecdotal Evidence Gathering
    • Crisis at Vanguard
  • Investment Analysis
    • Bonds
    • Currencies and Gold
    • Dividend Investing
    • ETFs & Funds
    • Investment Strategy
    • Retirement Investing
    • Stocks
    • The Efficient Frontier
  • Investment Counsel
  • Dynamic Maximizers®
  • Retirement Compounders®
  • Free Email Signup
  • Dick Young’s Safe America

Are Canadian Banks in Trouble?

March 22, 2019 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

By mffoto @ Shutterstock.com

Steve Eisman of “The Big Short” fame believes Canadian banks are in trouble thanks to a sagging housing market and slow economy. The FT’s Richard Henderson and Lindsay Fortado report:

Steve Eisman, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, is among a growing number of short-sellers taking positions in the likes of TD Bank and Royal Bank of Canada, in anticipation that the shares will fall. The moves come after property prices raced ahead of incomes for several years, boosted by loose lending, low interest rates and lax controls on foreign money. But new house prices in Canada slipped year on year in January for the first time since 2009, squeezed by tighter rules on mortgages and new taxes on foreign buyers, while the broader economy has begun to falter.

“I’m calling for a simple normalisation of credit that hasn’t happened in 20 years,” Mr Eisman told the FT, while declining to name the banks he is shorting, or the full extent of his positions. He said the effects would hurt banks and the real estate sector, but would not be as intense as the financial crisis a decade ago in the US, when he and others saw huge profits from the implosion of the subprime mortgage market.

“This is not ‘The Big Short: Canada’ — I’m not calling for a housing collapse,” he said.

Mr Eisman is not alone: collective wagers against Canadian banks have risen 19 per cent since the start of the year to positions worth US$12.3bn, according to S3 Partners, a data provider based in New York. The activity is largely driven by falls in the country’s property market after years of rapid growth, according to Ihor Dusaniwsky, managing director of predictive analytics at S3 Partners.

Read more here.

Share this:

  • Email
  • Twitter
  • Facebook

You Might Also Like:

  • Are Canadian Home Prices About to Crash?
  • New York Real Estate Sales Plunge
  • What’s Supporting Real Estate Prices?
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. was ranked #10 in CNBC's 2019 Financial Advisor Top 100. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
Latest posts by Jeremy Jones, CFA (see all)
  • Corporations Rush to Reap Equity Windfall - January 22, 2021
  • Investors Are Being Conditioned Not To Recognise the Danger - January 21, 2021
  • What Is the Stock Market’s Link to the Economy? - January 20, 2021

Search Young Research

Most Popular

  • The Fed is Sacrificing Retirees to Save the Banks
  • Dick Young’s Safe America: Chapter 1, Part I
  • I’ve Been in Richard Young’s Maximizers for Years
  • Vanguard Wellesley (VWINX) vs. Wellington (VWELX): Which Fund is Best?
  • The Power of a Compound Interest Table
  • Whether Through Audacity or Ignorance, Stock Fundamentals Are Being Ignored
  • The Highest Yielding S&P 500 Stocks
  • Smith Family Robinson in Live Free or Die, NH
  • Jim Simons's Renaissance Technologies vs. Internet Forum Traders
  • February RAGE Gauge: Americans Focusing on What's In Front of Them

Don’t Miss

Default Risk Among the Many Concerns with Annuities

Risk and Reward: An Efficient Frontier

How to be a Billionaire: Proven Strategies from the Titans of Wealth

Could this Be the Vanguard GNMA Winning Edge?

Cryptocosm and Life After Google

Warning: Avoid Mutual Fund Year End Distributions

Is Gold a Good Long-term Investment?

How to Invest in Gold

Vanguard Wellington (VWELX): The Original Balanced Fund

What is the Best Gold ETF for Investing and Trading?

Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock: The Only True Dividend King

The Dividend King of the North

You’ll Love This if You’re Dreaming of an Active Retirement Life

RSS The Latest at Richardcyoung.com

  • Absentee Ballots Not Verified
  • SARS-CoV-2: Probability of Outdoor Airborne Transmission Very Low
  • Your Personal Safety: Concealed-Carry How to Carry Your Freedom
  • Mostly Peaceful, Ungovernable Protestors
  • Biden’s Inaugural, the Most Confusing, Contradictory, Incoherent Ever?
  • Is the GOP Over? Not Even Close: Here’s Why
  • Impeaching an Ex-President is Unconstitutional
  • Ten Republican Senators to Get Behind
  • Why Do Government Officials Want To Silence Their Opponents?
  • And 2022 Is Right Around the Corner

About Us

  • About Young Research
  • Archives
  • Contributors

Our Partners

  • Richard C. Young & Co.
  • Richardcyoung.com

Social Media

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Youtube
  • Pinterest

Copyright © 2021 | Terms & Conditions

loading Cancel
Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
Email check failed, please try again
Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.