Did you know that China accounts for close to 40% of the consumption of aluminum, copper, lead, tin, zinc, and nickel? China is by far the most important consumer of industrial metals. China is also a large consumer of energy and agricultural commodities. If you want to know what the outlook for commodities demand looks like over the coming decade, look to China. If the Chinese economy is growing, it is safe to assume that demand for commodities is on the rise. In the fourth quarter, China’s GDP growth was over 10%. So commodities demand is likely on the rise, but what about supply? You can’t properly analyze a market without looking at both sides of the supply-demand equation.
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Jeremy Jones, CFA is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Jeremy is a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.