As you’ve seen in this table, the amount of money in the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index family is enormous. It’s where money goes to die, and is perhaps one of the greatest bubbles no one sees. You have advisors recommending this index approach until they’re blue in the face. They give presentations to the investment committee of pensions, foundations, LLCs, hedge funds, you name it, and say, “Well Bob, with this fund, you have a slice of the stock market.” A good follow-up question is how much of the total is dependent on just ten stocks? Action Line: Lots of careers are … [Read more...]
The Curse of the Benchmarks
At the Financial Times, Paul Woolley explains a troubling phenomenon in investing that he calls “the curse of the benchmarks.” He writes: All investing boils down to a choice of two distinct strategies implemented in a variety of ways. One is buying securities that are priced cheaply in relation to their expected future cash flows, which is what everyone assumes is done with their savings. Bizarrely, the other is almost the exact opposite: buying securities whose prices have recently been on the rise or that have already gone up most, both without reference to fundamental value. Another … [Read more...]
Why Vanguard is too Big: Part VI
Do you know what career risk means? Of course, you do. It means you could lose your job. Well, in the investment world of pensions, mutual funds, and ETFs, career risk means you might lose your job if you underperform an index. That’s why so many pensions, foundations, and the like are piling into the Jabba the Hutt funds, like Vanguard’s Total Stock Market Index. If they lose a pile of money, at least they can say, “Hey, so did everyone else. We performed just like the market did”. You’ve read here, here, here, here, and here about my concerns with Vanguard being too big. That goes for all … [Read more...]
Are Index Funds Still Diversified?
Just because you own an index fund, doesn’t mean your portfolio is properly diversified. Goldman Sachs estimates that only five stocks account for almost 40% of the Russell 1,000 Growth index. As Bloomberg points out here, if you are an active growth fund manager, the concentration of stocks such as Apple has reached such an extreme level that it has become the only stock that matters for relative performance. Lu Wang reports: Apple Inc.’s unprecedented market weight creates headaches for stock managers when it rallies: They never own enough of it. That dynamic played out vividly in the … [Read more...]
Why Vanguard is too Big: Part III: BOND ALERT
In times like these, you can’t afford to fight other people’s social crusades. Vanguard has announced a new ESG bond fund. You need to know the pitfalls of ESG and avoid them. Vanguard has announced: We’re pleased to announce that Vanguard ESG U.S. Corporate Bond ETF (VCEB) is now available. This latest addition to our ESG (environmental, social, and governance) offerings was designed to complement our equity lineup of ETFs and mutual funds, satisfy evolving investor preferences, and enhance our low-cost approach. It’s time for Vanguard to get back to its roots. The venerable firm, … [Read more...]
Is Consolidation Coming to Mutual Fund Industry?
Are the activist shareholders coming for the mutual fund industry? In The Wall Street Journal, Corrie Driebusch explains that Trian Fund Management has taken positions in Invesco and Janus Henderson Group and plans to push a merger. She writes: Shareholder activist Trian Fund Management LP has taken big stakes in investment firms Invesco Ltd. and Janus Henderson Group PLC and plans to agitate for deal making aimed at building a rival to the biggest asset managers in the world. Trian has accumulated 9.9% stakes in both Invesco and Janus Henderson, with the two positions totaling roughly … [Read more...]
Ginnie Mae (GNMA) Bond Yields
What do Ginnie Mae (GNMA) bonds yield? The table below lists the yields on two of the major Ginnie Mae (GNMA) indices as well as the latest SEC yield on some of the top Ginnie Mae (GNMA) dedicated funds. A note of caution when you are looking at yields on Ginnie Mae funds. Like all SEC yields, these yields are based on the last 30-days of income generated by the fund. They are not directly comparable to the yields on the Merrill Lynch and Barclay’s Ginnie Mae (GNMA) indices. Description Symbol Yield as of 8/31/2020 Yield as of 9/30/2020 Merrill Lynch Ginnie Mae … [Read more...]
SEC Cracks the Floodgates to New Hedge Fund Investors
You may already be an "accredited investor," with more than $1 million in net assets (excluding your home) or $200,000 in annual income. If so, you've long had the ability to invest in hedge funds, where you get the privilege of paying the managers 20% of your profits and 2% of your assets. But now, the SEC is allowing many more Americans to play at the hedge fund casino. Paul Kiernan reports in The Wall Street Journal: The Securities and Exchange Commission deemed more investors capable of navigating the opaque world of leveraged buyouts, hedge funds and startups, a decision likely to … [Read more...]
Investors Facing Long-Awaited ETF Industry Shakeout
You have probably invested at some point in ETFs or ETNs. The exchange-traded investments have thrived for decades now as a lower-cost and more efficient alternative to mutual funds. But after years of huge fund companies issuing new ETFs and ETNs by just throwing products at the wall to see what stuck, the industry is shaking out. The Wall Street Journal reports that this year alone 188 exchange-traded products have been shut down. Michael Wursthorn writes: Asset managers have closed more exchange-traded products than they have launched this year, a sign of how market gyrations have … [Read more...]
Vanguard is Moving into Private Equity
Vanguard announced it is launching a private-equity fund. Initially, the fund will only be offered to endowments and foundations, but Vanguard plans to open its private equity fund up to wealthy individuals in the future. Is Vanguard’s move a sign of froth in the private equity space, or trouble with the hurdles required to come public? Probably both, but the number of IPOs in the U.S. has plummeted since the dotcom bust and it still hasn’t recovered. The cost and hassle of being a publicly-traded company has made staying private or going private more attractive. Dawn Lim reports at The … [Read more...]
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