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JNJ’s “One Shot, Shot”

March 1, 2021 By Young Research

The FDA has approved the use of Johnson & Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine, which unlike its competitors from Pfizer and Moderna can be stored at room temperature and needs only one dose. The WSJ reports: The first single-dose Covid-19 vaccine, a shot from Johnson & Johnson, JNJ +1.55% was authorized for use, a big boost for a mass-vaccination campaign rushing to end the deadliest pandemic in more than a century. The vaccine’s authorization on Saturday, the third issued by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, will give health authorities a desperately needed new source of doses as they … [Read more...]

Bubble in Tech Stocks Will Cause “Clean Out” in Markets

February 25, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Jamie Smyth and Robin Wigglesworth report on Peter Costello's view that the bubble in tech stocks being inflated by the world's central banks could cause a market "clean out." They write in the Financial Times: The world’s big central banks are inflating a bubble in technology stocks that will lead to a “clean-out” on global equity markets, the chairman of Australia’s $135bn sovereign wealth fund has warned. Rock-bottom interest rates and bond-buying programmes put in place to cushion the impact of the pandemic last year have left economies and markets vulnerable to a shock, Peter Costello … [Read more...]

Number of Bubble Stocks Rivals Dotcom Period

February 17, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

This chart doesn’t require much explanation. What you are looking at is the number of stocks listed on U.S. exchanges with meaningful market values that are up more than 500% over the last year. Why 500% over a year? It is admittedly pretty arbitrary, but a nice round number that is so high it would be difficult to explain as something justified by improving fundamentals. The last time we saw anything close to this kind of mania was the dot-com bubble. Seasoned investors have the benefit of knowing how this type of mania ends. Stay cautious and prudent even if your neighbor’s … [Read more...]

Despite Cajoling Others, JP Morgan Puts Shareholders First

February 9, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

There is a movement in business today to put "stakeholders" at the forefront of a business's thought. But it doesn't take too much thought to imagine how that would dry up investment as shareholders would look to put their money where it's treated best. JP Morgan has championed the stakeholder approach in the past, but when it came time to make a real decision, it chose long-term viability over the short-term public relations benefits of the "stakeholder" approach. Ross Kerber reports: JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon has led calls for companies to consider the needs of workers, … [Read more...]

GameStop Helps Explain Robinhood’s Free Stock Trades

February 4, 2021 By E.J. Smith

As I explained to you yesterday in Money 101: There’s a Reason Family Always Comes 1st, when something is free, you’re probably the product being sold. Sold to whom? Well, in the case of GameStop, for example, Robinhood sold high-speed traders customer order flow as reported in the WSJ back in December: Robinhood Financial LLC has agreed to pay $65 million to settle regulatory claims that it didn’t sufficiently disclose its business deals with high-speed trading firms, the Securities and Exchange Commission said Thursday. The fine is a setback for the fast-growing company, which has helped … [Read more...]

Fidelity #1: GameStop Gets Stopped Out By Robinhood

January 29, 2021 By E.J. Smith

Robinhood made the grave mistake of cutting back trading yesterday. Why is this important? Because, for example, if someone places a market trade and the broker limits trading, your order might not be executed. You might even think you’re already out of the position but in reality you’re not because the platform limited trading.The next thing you know the stock has dropped by some crazy percentage and you’re still in it. If you’re going to play with the big boys then get aligned with a big boy platform like Fidelity Investments. This is not a game. And it’s why Fidelity remains #1 in my … [Read more...]

Retail Investors Go Unicorn Hunting

January 28, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

James Bianco explains the dramatically changing investing preferences of the public, writing: There is no one definitive measure to show this shift, but the signs are unmistakable. Trading in individual stock options has been booming to new records, according to data from the Options Clearing Corporation. This has been led by purchases of options to buy stocks in lots of 10 contracts or fewer. Nearly 15 per cent of all trades are for one contract. Penny stocks have recently caught the fancy of investors. In December 2020, they traded 1tn shares, according to data firm SentimenTrader. That … [Read more...]

Valuations Reminiscent of Dot-Com Crash in 2000: Part II

January 27, 2021 By E.J. Smith

You read yesterday about the online forums where traders are encouraging each other to invest in stocks, and creating a tug of war between them and hedge fund managers that is driving some stocks to dot-com bubble level valuations. The trading storm created by these online rumor mills is taking a toll on online trading platforms, report Justin Baer and Peter Rudegeair in The Wall Street Journal. They write: “These outages generate annoyance among investors in the short term,” said William Trout, director of wealth management at Javelin Strategy & Research. “Longer-term, outages call … [Read more...]

The Bull Raids are Wreaking Havoc on Wall Street

January 27, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

This is a new dynamic. We’ve referenced GameStop (see here and here) and other stocks with high short interest being targets of message board traders before, but we haven’t seen coordinated action with this kind of an impact before. Instead of investing based on company fundamentals, traders in GameStop are trying to squeeze short investors. A short squeeze is when an investor who shorts a stock is forced to buy it back because the price has risen so much. In pre-market trading early this morning GameStop shares traded as high as $365. Ten days ago the stock was selling for $20. Short … [Read more...]

Valuations Reminiscent of Dot-Com Crash in 2000

January 27, 2021 By E.J. Smith

Are you paying attention to what’s happening here? I’m talking about the tug-of-war between hedge funds and day traders with shares of GameStop. "The rally has been fueled by investors encouraging each other on social media to pile into GameStop shares and options," reports the WSJ. "The buying pressure has led money managers to switch out of substantial bets that the stock would fall, investors and analysts said. This resulted in a short squeeze, in which rising prices prompt investors to buy back shares they had sold short to cut their losses, pushing the stock higher still.” From the … [Read more...]

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