Young Research & Publishing Inc.

Investment Research Since 1978

Once Frightened Boomers are Now in a Hurry for Retirement

By

retirement-calendarDuring the years following the financial crisis Baby Boomers held on to their jobs. Either loath to abandon their good pay or to draw from their beaten down savings, they delayed retirement. Now, perhaps emboldened by the stock market hitting new highs, Boomers are more inclined to head for the exits. Bloomberg reports that 800,000 Boomers opted to retire in the fourth quarter of 2016.

For more than five years, the six-month trend for this figure — a significant demographic source of downward pressure on the headline labor force participation rate — had been heading higher, before plateauing for most of 2016. The labor force participation rate for this cohort tanked by a full percentage point, to 23.6 percent, in the final quarter of the year.

Data on flows in and out of the labor force back up this story, with the six-month trend in Americans moving from employment to outside the workforce (a loose proxy for retirements) notably accelerating since October.

You can see on my chart below that the labor force participation rate has been stabilized recently near levels not seen since the Mid-1970s. With an acceleration in Boomer retirements, the rate could fall further once again.

Read more from Bloomberg here.

civilian-labor-force-participation-rate

 

The following two tabs change content below.

E.J. Smith

Editor-in-Chief
E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998. E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zilldjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris. Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@youngresearch.com.