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Rome, Paris, U.S.A.: Global Crisis in Confidence

June 2, 2023 By E.J. Smith

What we have is a crisis in confidence. It’s not such a small world anymore. When countries retreat, look inward instead of outward, tension builds, and fingers are pointed. Look at what’s going on at home in the U.S., for example. The big blue blob cities continue operating as usual as unsustainable deficits and pension obligations build. Look at the stark differences on the state level between California and my favored red states, like Florida, by example. They’re night and day. The same is happening in the Eurozone. Over the last eight years, what I’ve witnessed personally is a major … [Read more...]

What Is a Fiduciary Duty? Are You Working with a Fiduciary?

June 2, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Are you working with a fiduciary? What is a fiduciary? If you aren't sure your advisor is a fiduciary by law, you should find out. It can make a difference in what happens in your portfolio. In his 2009 article "The Fiduciary Principle: No Man Can Serve Two Masters," the founder of The Vanguard Group, John (Jack) Bogle, explained the fiduciary duty as follows: The concept of fiduciary duty has a long history, going back more or less eight centuries under English common law. Fiduciary duty is essentially a legal relationship of confidence or trust between two or more parties, most commonly a … [Read more...]

Birth Rates in France Worst Since Post-WWII Era

June 1, 2023 By E.J. Smith

You know Your Survival Guy is worried about Italy's low birth rates. But just as worrying is France, which is witnessing its lowest birthrates since just after WWII. Can you imagine? Fertility rates in France have fallen to 1.8. Hélène de Lauzun reports in The European Conservative: After Spain and Italy, it is now France’s turn to publish alarming figures on the state of its birth rate. According to the national statistics agency, INSEE, the year 2023 will be particularly “weak” for births. In the first quarter, France recorded 7% fewer births than in 2020, before the pandemic—the lowest … [Read more...]

Here Come the Adjustments to Earnings

June 1, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Often when companies are experiencing troubling financial times, you'll see more adjustments to earnings. According to Ben Foldy in The Wall Street Journal, the use of that financial tool is increasing. He writes: Business slowed last year for Google’s parent, Alphabet GOOG -1.02%decrease; red down pointing triangle. The tech giant still beat earnings expectations in this year’s first quarter, in part because it said that its computer servers would last longer than expected. The shift reduced its depreciation expense by nearly $1 billion and helped push per-share earnings ahead of … [Read more...]

Your Survival Guy Felt Like a U.N. Worker in Rome

May 31, 2023 By E.J. Smith

OK, if you’re a regular to www.yoursurvivalguy.com, then you know about surviving and thriving. Much to my chagrin, so much can be learned from my mistakes or mishaps. Is there anything more enjoyable? In this installment, I want to draw your attention to Your Survival Guy’s best insider’s guide to Rome. This is a tricky one because in just a handful of conversations on my first day back stateside, four out of five of you are either going to Rome, just got back, or have a cousin there. It’s not a secret. We live in a world where information is readily available. “Let me google that,” … [Read more...]

The Future of the American City is This…

May 30, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Your Survival Guy, on the heels of a three-week trip to Rome and Paris, can tell you the core of both cities are alive and well. I like the future survivability of American cities where they’re places for people to live and connect not just vacant canyons of office buildings. From The WSJ: While office towers sit empty and nearby businesses struggle to pay their bills, residential neighborhoods in America’s biggest cities are bustling again. The pandemic and remote work have done little to dent the overall appeal of cities such as New York, Chicago and Los Angeles, foot-traffic and rent … [Read more...]

Your Survival Guy in Rome 30-Years A.B. (After Babson)

May 26, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Back in 1994, Your Survival Guy, a recent Babson College graduate, decided to put his diploma to work, and hopped on a plane to Greece to spend some time with a fraternity brother who summered on one of the Greek Isles. “When else are you going to get an opportunity to do this again?” my dad said. And with that, I coordinated with my high school friend, a recent Duke grad, to meet up in Rome and tour Western Europe for a month or so. “Meet you in Rome,” I said. “I’ll figure out how to get there from Athens,” I said. This was not a quick boat ride to Martha’s Vineyard. Your Survival Guy … [Read more...]

A Three-Week International Research Trip to Paris via Rome

May 25, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Happy Thursday. Your Survival Guy’s been up for hours, having returned yesterday from a three-week international research trip to Paris via Rome. I’ll have plenty to share with you in the weeks ahead. Don’t be a stranger. Beat the Friday email rush by checking in with me daily right here at www.yoursurvivalguy.com OK then, here’s my take on the lay of the land on the international front. The US dollar isn’t what it used to be, and Your Survival Guy doesn’t see it getting any better. Over the last eight years or so, Your Survival Guy’s been traveling to Paris, often twice a year … [Read more...]

What Does That Have to Do with Your Dividend?

May 24, 2023 By E.J. Smith

You know Your Survival Guy loves dividends and values his fiduciary duty to clients. But Richard Vanderford writes in The Wall Street Journal that this year companies will be voting on issues like "abortion, guns and climate change." What does any of that have to do with your dividend? Vanderford continues: A backlash against companies taking on issues ranging from climate change to abortion rights is helping to push shareholder proposals to record numbers this year. More advocacy groups are using these resolutions to try to inject their voices into the corporate agenda, questioning … [Read more...]

How Activists Have Weaponized Corporate Boards

May 23, 2023 By E.J. Smith

Your Survival Guy is focused on you, the millionaire next door, who wants to enjoy travel and family in retirement. You may even be the type of saver who doesn't want to stop working completely because you enjoy the skills you've developed over decades of working hard and saving til it hurts. When you invest your hard-earned money in a company, it's because you expect the managers of that company to work just as hard as you do to return your money and then some. But not everyone thinks like you. There are shareholders who want to weaponize corporations to pursue their political agendas. They … [Read more...]

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