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Serious Inflation Ahead

April 1, 2011 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Here is yet another sign that inflation pressures are building. Wal-Mart, America’s largest and lowest cost retailer says U.S. consumers will face serious inflation for clothing, food, and other products in the months ahead. If the nation’s low cost leader is planning price hikes, there isn’t a business in America that isn’t going to raise prices. I know this kind of data point doesn’t fit into the Fed’s abstruse economic models, but if Ben B. wants any chance of salvaging the Fed’s waning inflation-fighting credibility, he’d better start paying attention to this type of anecdotal evidence.

Wal-Mart CEO Bill Simon expects inflation
By Jayne O’Donnell, USA TODAY

U.S. consumers face “serious” inflation in the months ahead for clothing, food and other products, the head of Wal-Mart’s U.S. operations warned Wednesday… 

…inflation is “going to be serious,” Wal-Mart U.S. CEO Bill Simon said during a meeting with USA TODAY’s editorial board. “We’re seeing cost increases starting to come through at a pretty rapid rate.” 

Along with steep increases in raw material costs, John Long, a retail strategist at Kurt Salmon, says labor costs in China and fuel costs for transportation are weighing heavily on retailers. He predicts prices will start increasing at all retailers in June… 

Major retailers such as Wal-Mart are the best positioned to mitigate some cost increases, Long says. Wal-Mart, for example, could have “access to any factory in any country around the globe” to mitigate the effect of inflation in the U.S., Long says… 

Still, “it’s certainly going to have an impact,” Long says. “No retailer is going to be able to wish this new cost reality away. They’re not going to be able to insulate the consumer 100%.”

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Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. was ranked #5 in CNBC's 2021 Financial Advisor Top 100. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
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