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Canadian Banks and a Chinese Bubble

September 26, 2019 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

This is the first installment of Clippings, a new feature from Youngresearch.com. In Clippings we’ll periodically post articles on markets, economics, finance, investments, and anything else we find of interest.

What U.S. Banks Can Learn from Canada

By Derek DeCloet – BusinessWeek

“Canadian banks did not fail because they mostly avoided the big mistakes with mortgages. They didn’t lend to people who couldn’t prove a sufficient income. They did give no-money-down mortgages, but not many—and the practice was effectively banned. They made scant use of teaser rates. They do these things largely because they didn’t have to. Domestic banks own 80% of the mortgage business, and most of that is in the hands of the Big Six. Refinancing is expensive and a hassle. Canadian tax law also plays a role. Mortgage interest isn’t tax-deductible, creating a disincentive to borrow. And heaven help the defaulter; banks can go after assets other than the home to make themselves whole.”

The Building Bubble in China

By Michael Forsythe and Kevin Hamlin – BusinessWeek

“Much of the $1.4 trillion in loans made by Chinese banks last year—with considerable encouragement from officials aiming to boost growth—was spent on skyscrapers and other commercial property. Now empty buildings are sprouting across the mainland. Beijing had an office vacancy rate of 22.4% in the third quarter, the ninth-highest of 103 markets tracked by broker CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) (CBG). That figure doesn’t include projects about to open, such as the 74-story China World Tower 3, Beijing’s tallest building. “There’s a monumental property bubble and fixed-asset investment bubble under way,” says James Chanos, founder of New York hedge fund Kynikos Associates.”

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Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. was ranked #5 in CNBC's 2021 Financial Advisor Top 100. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
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