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Your Survival Guy received some Christmas emails asking about a certain economistโ€™s stock market prediction that the bubbleโ€™s about to burst.

My take? Why ruin Christmas? Maybe heโ€™s right, maybe heโ€™s wrong. What I know for sure is heโ€™s in the business of selling books and making headlines. Thatโ€™s not acting like a fiduciary.

I remember back in 1998 when this same economist wrote a book calling for the roaring 2000s. The roar turned out to be the sound from investors pummeled by the tech bust a few years later.

Then he called for, in 2004, another boom to come, taking a pass on the most recent foul ball. That boom turned out to be shrapnel from the housing crisis that ruined investors for a generation.

Not to lose stride, the same Mr. Nostradamus called for the 2010s to be a bust instead of the Fed-fueled boom that occurred. Another boat missed. Do you see the trend?

Now, heโ€™s calling for a stock market bust. You know what they say about a broken clock.

If investors simply came up with a plan all those years ago and stuck with it, they wouldnโ€™t have to worry about whether weโ€™re going to see a boom or a bust.

Your Survival Guyโ€™s been invested and operated as a fiduciary all through the years of this prediction and that. And Iโ€™m here to write; Iโ€™m still working side by side with you, dear readers.

Action Line: When a prognosticator is in the business of selling books and headlines, be careful to check your emotions at the door. If youโ€™re worried, letโ€™s talk about building a plan.

Originally posted on Your Survival Guy.ย