Young Research & Publishing Inc.

Investment Research Since 1978

Disclosure

  • About Us
    • Contributors
    • Archives
    • The Final Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
    • Dick Young’s Research Key: Anecdotal Evidence Gathering
    • Crisis at Vanguard
  • Investment Analysis
    • Bonds
    • Currencies and Gold
    • Dividend Investing
    • ETFs & Funds
    • Investment Strategy
    • Retirement Investing
    • Stocks
    • The Efficient Frontier
  • Investment Counsel
  • Dynamic Maximizers®
  • Retirement Compounders®
  • Free Email Signup
  • Dick Young’s Safe America

Stocks for the Long-Run

May 16, 2012 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Jeremy Siegel, the famous Wharton School finance professor coined the phrase “stocks for the long-run” with his identically titled 1994 best seller, Stocks for the Long Run: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns and Long-term Investment Strategies. In the book, professor Siegel looks back at up to two centuries of financial market history to support his claim that stocks are the most profitable long-term investments. And indeed his conclusion has been true.

But the good professor failed to adequately warn investors that the long run can be a really long time. Check out my stock market charts on Spain, Italy, and Greece.

Spanish stock prices are no higher than they were 13 years ago. That is a long time to forego capital gains, but in comparison to the performance of Italian and Greek stocks, the Spanish stock market looks like a winner. Italian stock prices are no higher than they were in 1986—that’s 26 years without a capital gain. And Greek stocks don’t look much better. The MSCI Greece index has done a round-trip over the last two decades. How do you think an Italian investor who retired in the late 1980s would have fared with a portfolio invested entirely in stocks?

Siegel may be right about the long run profitability of stocks, but the famous British economist John Maynard Keynes warned us long ago that “In the long run, we are all dead.”

Diversification and balance (as in bonds) remain vital to your short and long run investment success.

Share this:

  • Email
  • Twitter
  • Facebook

You Might Also Like:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 Stocks
  • China Stocks Enter the MSCI Emerging Market Indices
  • The Global Bear Market
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. was ranked #10 in CNBC's 2019 Financial Advisor Top 100. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
Latest posts by Jeremy Jones, CFA (see all)
  • Turkey Bans Bitcoin - April 16, 2021
  • How Amazon Violates Anti-Trust Rules - April 15, 2021
  • Long Live the Dividend King - April 14, 2021

Search Young Research

Most Popular

  • It’s as Simple as 4%? No, Not Anymore
  • Is Inflation Imminent? Prepare Now
  • Your Port Against a Storm.
  • Vanguard Wellesley (VWINX) vs. Wellington (VWELX): Which Fund is Best?
  • Long Live the Dividend King
  • Inflation? Yes.
  • Fidelity Investments #1: Hires 4,000 Focuses on YOU
  • Banks Prepare for Boom
  • The Highest Yielding Dow Stocks
  • The Power of a Compound Interest Table

Don’t Miss

Default Risk Among the Many Concerns with Annuities

Risk and Reward: An Efficient Frontier

How to be a Billionaire: Proven Strategies from the Titans of Wealth

Could this Be the Vanguard GNMA Winning Edge?

Cryptocosm and Life After Google

Warning: Avoid Mutual Fund Year End Distributions

Is Gold a Good Long-term Investment?

How to Invest in Gold

Vanguard Wellington (VWELX): The Original Balanced Fund

What is the Best Gold ETF for Investing and Trading?

Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock: The Only True Dividend King

The Dividend King of the North

You’ll Love This if You’re Dreaming of an Active Retirement Life

RSS The Latest at Richardcyoung.com

  • The Vanguard Wellesley Way
  • Toilet Paper and SPAM: What More You Can Do?
  • Incentivizing People to Stay Home?
  • The Government Cannot Constitutionally Interfere With Gun Ownership
  • French Wine Weather Disaster Worse than 1991, 1997, 2003
  • Key West Breaking News from Dick Young
  • A Pitiful, Helpless Giant?
  • What Happens When Even Logic and Facts Can’t Persuade the Left?
  • Don’t Miss the Boat: Meet Your Money Stewards
  • Hit Piece on Gov. Ron DeSantis Is the End of 60 Minutes’ Credibility

About Us

  • About Young Research
  • Archives
  • Contributors

Our Partners

  • Richard C. Young & Co.
  • Richardcyoung.com

Copyright © 2021 | Terms & Conditions

loading Cancel
Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
Email check failed, please try again
Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.