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Archives for January 2021

Jim Simons’s Renaissance Technologies vs. Internet Forum Traders

January 15, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

This story is a familiar one if you have been active in the markets for a few decades. It starts with the WSJ reporting on Jim Simons's decision to step down as Chairman of his firm, Renaissance Technologies. As the Wall Street Journal so kindly points out in this morning’s article, Renaissance Technologies public funds had a real ugly year in 2020. They were down 20-30%. Simons is one of the most successful hedge fund managers on Wall Street—ever! Nothing like a parting gut-punch from the most widely read financial newspaper in the U.S after an otherwise brilliant career. Classy … [Read more...]

February RAGE Gauge: Americans Focusing on What’s In Front of Them

January 14, 2021 By E.J. Smith

You think Americans are feeling elevated risk? You wouldn't know it by looking at the stock market. But how are you doing on a local level? Are you taking small steps every day to secure your situation? You don’t have to change your world in a day. Focus on what's right in front of you. That's what's most important. Here are some thoughts looking out at my backyard: Are you seeing local prices higher or lower? Here, the price for food at the grocery store is up, while remaining pretty steady at restaurants. What isn't going up is the yield you're earning on the S&P 500. Yields are … [Read more...]

Biden Plans to Spend Trillions More on COVID-19 Stimulus

January 14, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

The Biden team has announced that they plan on spending trillions of dollars (in addition to the trillions already spent) on COVID-19 stimulus and recovery. The New York Times reports: With millions still struggling, the initial stimulus package that Mr. Biden will unveil is expected to include money to complete $2,000 direct payments to individuals and aid to small businesses and local and state governments, Mr. Deese said. Others briefed on Mr. Biden’s thinking said he would also call for the first piece of legislation to include extending the duration of benefits for the long-term … [Read more...]

There’s Always a Way Forward for Americans Like YOU

January 13, 2021 By E.J. Smith

How did you learn how to make money? In reviewing a package of financial documents with a prospective client last week, he included his social security estimates. It was like finding a piece of gold as far as I was concerned. Why? Because it showed me that he began working at age 16. I was able to see what he made of himself during a lifetime of work. It’s better than reading a best seller. I said to him, “It’s nice to see how much you’ve been able to save all these years, but what stands out the most is I see you started working when you were 16-years old.” He replied, “I guess that’s what … [Read more...]

Overtaken By Nvidia, Intel Fires Bob Swan

January 13, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

The Financial Times reports on the firing of Bob Swan by Intel, writing: Intel is replacing its chief executive Bob Swan after a series of manufacturing setbacks and competitive blunders that lost the veteran Silicon Valley company its crown as the top US chipmaker. Mr Swan, its former finance chief who held the top job for just over two years, will be succeeded on February 15 by former Intel veteran Pat Gelsinger, who is currently chief executive of VMware, the infrastructure software group. The company made the move just days before Mr Swan was expected to unveil Intel’s new … [Read more...]

Do You Remember When NASDAQ Dropped by 82%?

January 12, 2021 By E.J. Smith

If you’re not a client of mine, and know someone that’s loaded with tech stocks, help them take a look at the overlap in their portfolio. Have them look at their mutual funds and ETFs, and read the prospectus. Look at the top ten holdings. Chances are they’re all loaded with the same small group of GROWTH stocks. Remember, even trees don’t grow to the sky. There’s a shelf life, there’s a limit. If you stick with a VALUE approach (you are if you’re with me) then you’re building in discipline, like a New Year’s resolution, by sticking to a plan. Combine this approach with the Prudent Man rule, … [Read more...]

Downcast Small Business Owners Prepare for a Difficult Four Years

January 12, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

The NFIB's measure of small business optimism shows that owners across America are not hopeful about the near-term future. Jeffrey Bartash reports for MSN: The numbers: Small-business owners turned more pessimistic in December than they have been at any time since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic after a record new stage of the viral outbreak and Democratic electoral victories that promise a potentially dramatic shift in economic policy in Washington. The closely followed optimism index compiled by the National Federation of Independent Business fell by 5.5 points to 95.9 last month, … [Read more...]

Don’t Be on Their Radar, Get Out of Debt Now

January 11, 2021 By E.J. Smith

If they’re going to penalize you for saving, you had better learn how to play their game. Because indebted Americans are their bread and butter. Charging outrageous interest rates on credit card debt and paying zero on savings is one of the ways they stick it to you. And imagine all the information they have on you. It’s scary to say the least. That’s why I want you to stop playing their game. If you’re in debt, I want you to devise a plan to get out of it. Whether it’s a six-month, one-year, five-year, or ten-year plan, I want you out of debt. Because when the world can change literally … [Read more...]

Business Owners Must Reassess Relationship with Big-Tech

January 11, 2021 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

If you own a business that relies on big-technology companies or if you work for a firm whose business relies on big-tech, it's time to start looking for alternatives. Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Twitter, to name the big ones, can literally put you out of business overnight. Apple and Google banned Parler from their app stores over the weekend, following an influx of new users. Parler is an alternative to Twitter. No big deal, right? Apple is a private company and can ban businesses from its app store if it so chooses. Indeed, it can, but Apple also prevents users from … [Read more...]

H2O, Skiing, Hiding A$$ET$, Bitcoin, Ammo & More

January 8, 2021 By E.J. Smith

In my conversations with you, you’re telling me the skiing out west is great. The liftlines, not so much. Turns out Covid’s a ski buddy. It’s not unusual to see chair, after chair, after chair, with one skier per chair, each from the same group, to social distance. Insane. At least the skiing’s good. You’re telling me from Park City/Deer Valley up to Big Sky and Whitefish, MT, it’s good to be outside. I hear you. We ventured out to the slopes here on the east coast between Christmas and New Year’s and had to contend with Covid liftlines too. The skiing? A little dicey. One run from the top … [Read more...]

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