Yesterday I asked readers Do You Know this about Vanguard Wellington and Wellesley Funds? I explained that we have not soured on the funds, but that their effective maturities are longer than we'd like. I also wrote that at Young Research we recommend laddering bonds. One of the reasons we favor laddering bonds is to help strip-out interest rate risk. When you own a bond outright you have control over your holding period. Duration measures a bond’s sensitivity to interest rates. For example, a bond with a 15-year duration will decline by 15 percent with every one percent increase in … [Read more...]
Young Research & Publishing has been providing research and insights on bonds to institutional investors, corporate financial officers, business owners, and individual investors for over four decades. Richard C. Young started Young Research & Publishing in the 70s to publish the authoritative Young’s World Money Forecast, a 50-page monthly investment report for institutional land high net worth investors. Today, our research on bonds is geared toward investors in or nearing retirement who are looking to preserve and protect wealth.
Vanguard GNMA and a Winter of Political Polarization
Anyone who tells you politics has nothing to do with investing is simply not paying attention. In this winter of political polarization—a deep freeze—politics matter. Case in point. Look at Vanguard GNMA. For most of 2018, Vanguard GNMA has been sledding from a peak of $10.45 in January. Guess when the trough, or bottom was hit? November 6th the day of the midterm elections. Since then, as you’ve witnessed, stocks have been twitching like a desperate squirrel working through that last nut for the winter. Not Vanguard GNMA. It has been steady, up close to two-percent, closing at … [Read more...]
Here’s the Minimum You Should Invest in Fixed-Income
Back in May of 2002 I warned readers of the dangers of market timing, and of investing too much of their portfolio in equities. I wrote: Your Focus: Dividends & Interest In this issue, I re-emphasize why I think conservative investors must focus laser-like on fixed-income interest and dividends from common stocks. No matter what hype you read in the media or hear from brokers, stocks in general are not cheap—far from it. When all you get from the average big company stock is a 1.5% yield and you pay nearly 30 times earnings in the process, you are not looking at bargains. As you know, … [Read more...]
The Last Debt Domino to Fall?
Leveraged loan investors are heading for the door. Loans have their place in investment portfolios, but as late cycle assets to hold, these are not great. The Wall Street Journal's Sam Goldfarb calls them the "last domino to fall," in debt markets. He writes: While mutual funds represent just one source of demand for loans, the recent outflows have had a big market impact, leading to sharp declines in the prices of existing loans and prompting more investor-friendly terms on a shrinking supply of new loans entering the market. To some extent, loans—often referred to on Wall Street as … [Read more...]
Are You Investing in the Armored Truck of Financial Markets?
Are your investments characterized by the flash and speed of a supercar, or the reliability and protection of a Brinks truck? There’s nothing wrong with a super powered automobile made to take on curves at maximum speed, but the power that makes those machines exciting, is also what breaks their parts. All that torque can be hard on an automobile. Meanwhile, the massive diesel engines and reinforced steel protective bodies of armored trucks make sure its cargo reaches the destination. Back in 1990 I called Treasuries “the armored Brinks truck of financial markets.” I was responding to … [Read more...]
Are Catastrophe Bonds Worth the Risk?
Investors who purchased catastrophe bonds from PG&E now have the fate of their investments lying in the hands of investigators searching for the cause of the Camp Fire in California. If PG&E is found to be at fault for the fire, those investors are likely to lose everything. Markets will surely have to reevaluate the risk posed by such catastrophe bonds, and adjust yields demanded accordingly. Nicole Friedman reports on the bonds in The Wall Street Journal, writing: Those who follow the catastrophe-bond market are already anticipating the worst. The PG&E wildfire bond was quoted … [Read more...]
My Concentration Is on Full Faith & Credit Pledge U.S. Treasuries
As Wall Street tumbles, my concentration is on full faith and credit pledge U.S. treasuries. Reuters' Caroline Valetkevitch reports on the market: The Nasdaq fell 3 percent on Monday as investors dumped Apple, internet and other technology shares. Shares of Apple Inc fell after the Wall Street Journal reported the company had cut production orders in recent weeks for all three iPhone models launched in September. The iPhone maker’s stock dropped 4.0 percent to $185.86 and is now down 19.9 percent from its Oct. 3 record closing high in the wake of a disappointing holiday quarter sales … [Read more...]
T-Bill Yields Now Above Stock Yields
Vanguard GNMA Anchor to Windward
When times are tough, Vanguard GNMA continues to pay income, much like it does when times are good. For me, GNMA is an anchor to windward no matter which way the wind is blowing. And even though Young Research, which provides research and analysis to investment advisor Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., recommends laddering U.S. Government and Corporate bonds, you could do a lot worse than owning some GNMA. Originally posted on Yoursurvivalguy.com. … [Read more...]
It’s Time For Investors to Focus on Treasuries
It’s time for investors to focus on Treasuries. As stocks tumbled 3% yesterday, Sinead Carew wrote at Reuters: NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks tumbled on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 marking its biggest daily decline since Feb. 8, and technology stocks led the losses as rising U.S. Treasury yields sent investors fleeing from risky assets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 831.83 points, or 3.15 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXICdropped 315.97 points, or 4.08 percent, to 7,422.05. Read more here. … [Read more...]
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