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Gold, Silver, and Currencies

Young Research & Publishing has been providing research and insights on precious metals and currency markets to institutional investors, corporate financial officers, business owners, and individual investors for over four decades. Richard C. Young started Young Research & Publishing in the 70s to publish the authoritative Young's World Money Forecast, a 50-page monthly investment report on the precious metals and currency markets. Today, our research on gold, silver, and currencies is geared toward investors in or nearing retirement who are looking to preserve and protect wealth. 

Your Best Asset is What You Bring to the Table

August 28, 2020 By E.J. Smith

Literally. You are the best asset you've got. Are you a farmer who can grow a crop of corn or tomatoes? Are you a skilled mechanic who could help neighbors repair their machines? The skills and production you bring to your community are what pay for your meals, home, and everything else. The money you use to make the transactions is just a means of transferring those skills to others. You've probably read about the current coin shortage in America. While that's inconvenient, businesses have been finding ways around it by using electronic payments or simply rounding to the nearest … [Read more...]

Gold Prices are Soaring: Here’s Why

August 4, 2020 By E.J. Smith

Owning gold is like owning some insurance in your investment portfolio. When times are uncertain, its price may go up while others are going down. It has always made a great deal of sense to own gold, but now more than ever its price is rising. Joe Wallace explains why gold's price is soaring in The Wall Street Journal: The main reason is this year’s precipitous drop in yields on U.S. Treasurys to levels below the expected pace of inflation. Unlike bonds or bank deposits, gold doesn’t pay any income. As a result, owning gold means missing out on yields from other assets when interest … [Read more...]

Gold’s 50-Year Price Explosion

July 27, 2020 By Dick Young

Part I I was there from the start.  In early August 1971, I had just joined internationally focused research and trading firm Model Roland & Co. On 15 August 1971, President Nixon shocked the world by announcing that the U. S. would no longer officially trade dollars for gold. At that time, gold’s fixed price was $35/oz. By 1980, gold would hit an astronomical $800/oz. OK then, back to Model and the firm’s wonderful head partner Leo Model. From my first day onboard at Model, I started covering a bevy of major Boston institutional accounts.  I was 30 years old, and I would become … [Read more...]

A Zero-Rate World Might Imply more Currency Volatility

July 20, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

In The Economist, Buttonwood explains why "a zero-rate world might plausibly imply more currency volatility," writing: It is natural to think that if interest rates are glued to their effective lower bound, exchange rates will be similarly stuck. An axiom of foreign-exchange analysis is that shifts in policy rates, or in expectations of policy rates, drive currencies up and down. Yet a zero-rate world might plausibly imply more currency volatility. There is little scope for interest rates to adjust to economic trouble. So something else must. The exchange rate is the likeliest … [Read more...]

Gold Price Soars to Nine Year High

July 9, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Prices for gold have soared over $1,800 an ounce, a range that hasn't been reached in nine years. Neil Hume reports for the Financial Times: Gold prices rose to more than $1,800 an ounce on Wednesday for the first time in nine years as data showed investors had stashed a record $40bn of cash into funds backed by the precious metal during the first half of the year. The commodity, widely favoured by investors as a store of value in times of stress, breached $1,810 during afternoon trading in London, with a gain of more than 1 per cent on the day. Gold has risen about 19 per cent so far … [Read more...]

A Harbinger of Things to come in other Emerging Markets?

June 15, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Is Lebanon's currency collapse a harbinger of things to come in other emerging markets? Chloe Cornish reports for the FT: A dramatic collapse in the value of the local currency sparked protests across Lebanon on Thursday night, as the government and central bank struggled to stem the country’s worst economic crisis since its civil war. The Lebanese pound, which has officially been pegged at L£1,500 to the dollar for two decades, fell to L£6,000 to the dollar on the parallel market on Thursday. Local media reported prices as low as L£7,000 to the dollar in some places, amid panicked … [Read more...]

Hedge Funds Gear Up with Gold to Fight Fiat Currency Inflation

May 11, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Laurence Fletcher and Henry Sanderson report in the Financial Times about hedge fund efforts to use gold to fight fiat currency inflation. They write: Some of the world’s largest hedge funds are raising their bets on gold, forecasting that central banks’ unprecedented responses to the coronavirus crisis will lead to devaluations of major currencies. Paul Singer’s Elliott Management, Andrew Law’s Caxton Associates and Danny Yong’s Dymon Asia Capital are all bullish on the yellow metal, which has risen about 12 per cent this year. They are wagering that moves to loosen monetary … [Read more...]

Silver Cheapest to Gold in Three Centuries

May 7, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Henry Sanderson reports in Financial Times on the historically wide gap in the valuations of the two most common precious metals for investment. He writes: Investors are betting on a rally in silver, after the gap between gold and the industrial metal soared to its widest level in more than three centuries. In March the price of an ounce of gold was 125 times higher than the same amount of silver — a record going back to at least 1687, according to data compiled by Ross Norman, a veteran gold trader. But since then the gap has closed to about 113 times, and analysts say more gains for … [Read more...]

The Russian Ruble Crisis

April 1, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Six years ago, oil was trading at $100 per barrel and the Russian ruble was trading at 35 to the dollar. Translating that exchange rate into oligarch terms, it would have taken about 4.5 million rubles to buy one of Mercedes’ coveted G-class SUVs. Today, oil trades at about $20 per barrel and for oligarchs with 4.5 million rubles to spend on a SUV, it's time to start looking at Chevys. … [Read more...]

Gold Please

March 27, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

Below is a chart of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. The Fed has gone into money-printing overdrive. Over the last month, the central bank has conjured over $1 trillion out of thin air to buy Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. The Fed is printing at a pace of up to $125 billion per day. Once the stimulus passes, the Fed will be given about $500 billion in capital that can be leveraged up to 10X to buy more assets. The source of that leverage is newly printed money. We are talking about an additional $4.5 trillion. Meanwhile, the Federal Government is likely to run a … [Read more...]

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