OPEC is targeting $80/barrel for oil, but will it be able to get there if it's not estimating the proper amount of non-cartel production? In The Wall Street Journal, Sarah McFarlane and Stephanie Yang report: While cuts from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries have helped eliminate oversupply of crude oil, the cartel said in its monthly market report that non-OPEC producers such as the U.S. are contributing to rising global supply. ”We still think that the cartel is underestimating non-OPEC supply growth,” said Capital Economics analysts, noting that higher prices will … [Read more...]
Is it Possible to Be Successful in Commodity-Index Investing?
The short answer to the question above is, probably not. Using an indexed based approach to commodity investing is futile. If you're investing in commodities, it's best done using an active approach. Simon Constable explains why in The Wall Street Journal writing: 1. Unlike for stocks, the influence of technology on commodities is deflationary. Consider the massive profits generated by tech companies like Facebook Inc. and Alphabet Inc. New technology has helped power big gains in those stocks. And technology has helped fuel gains in stocks outside the tech sector, as well, by improving … [Read more...]
Is $80/barrel Oil on the Horizon?
If the leaders of Saudi Arabia have their way, oil could be priced at $80/barrel once again soon. With economic activity picking up in America, and OPEC continuing its policy of production restriction, that target is closer than it's been for some time. Bloomberg's Javier Blas reports: Saudi Arabia wants to get oil prices near $80 a barrel to pay for the government’s crowded policy agenda and support the valuation of state energy giant Aramco before an initial public offering. In conversations with OPEC delegates and oil market participants, Saudi officials had been careful to avoid … [Read more...]
Is the Sun Setting on Offshore Oil in the Gulf of Mexico?
A recent auction of oil drilling rights in the Gulf of Mexico was met with yawns by the oil drilling industry. Only 1% of the land on offer was bid on, and the average paid was $153 per acre. That's very low. Timothy Puko reports for The Wall Street Journal: The tepid response shows just how difficult it is for the administration to fulfill its promise of helping the energy industry grow at a time of abundant supplies. A boom in shale drilling has helped set the country on course to become the world’s largest oil producer, but it has also sunk prices and lured drillers away from higher-cost … [Read more...]
The Race for the World’s Lithium
With demand for lithium ion batteries for cars, phones, grid storage and more growing each day, there is a race on to secure the world's supplies of lithium. That race is becoming a battle in Chile, where regulators are unsure about whether or not to give a Chinese state-backed firm the go ahead to buy a major stake in SQM, a Chilean lithium miner. Reuters reports: The National Economic Prosecutor’s office, known by its Spanish initials FNE, is set to review the sale by Canada’s Nutrien Ltd of a 32 percent stake in Santiago-based SQM for more than $4 billion to Chinese bidder Tianqi … [Read more...]
Can GE Reinvent itself with Battery Storage?
GE is going through a major rebuilding phase. With fraud allegations and mismanagement, the greatest industrial company in American history is in a rut. Could energy storage with batteries save the conglomerate's business? Erin Ailworth explores the idea in The Wall Street Journal: HOUSTON— General Electric Co. GE 1.53% plans to unveil a new battery platform Wednesday as it seeks to become a leader in the emerging market of storing electricity. The giant platform called GE Reservoir will be able to store power generated by wind turbines and solar panels for later use. It will also be able … [Read more...]
Is There a Worldwide Shortage of LNG?
According to Royal Dutch Shell, the world could see a LNG shortage within a decade. Without more investment in new projects, heightened demand could swamp new supply. Tom DiChristopher reports at CNBC: The Anglo-Dutch energy giant issued the warning in its second annual LNG outlook, which reports on developments in the booming market for natural gas cooled to liquid form for export. Shell says the market for LNG grew by 29 million tons last year, 30 percent more than previously expected. Trading in LNG reached 293 million tons in 2017, up from just 100 million tons at the turn of the … [Read more...]
BP: World Running out of Oil Demand
According to BP, by 2035 demand for crude oil may peak. By 2040, the world's energy supply pie will be sliced equally between oil, coal, natural gas, and renewables, according to the oil giant's predictions. This new projection pushes up peak oil demand by a half decade or more. Christopher Alessi reports: The world’s appetite for oil and other liquid fuels could continue to grow until around 2035, hitting 110.3 million barrels a day—compared with 95 million barrels a day in 2015—before plateauing and falling off in the run up to 2040, the British oil-and-gas giant said Tuesday in the main … [Read more...]
America: The New Petro-State
Since at least the 1970s, higher oil prices have been a drag on the U.S. economy, but with U.S. oil production now surging that could be changing. Greg Ip writes in The Wall Street Journal that high oil prices, while still hard on consumers, are generating enough economy activity in America to offset the pain. Credit this to the emergence of the U.S. as a leading oil producer and, soon, net energy exporter. More expensive oil is still a tax on consumers. But that tax is increasingly offset by the boost to energy investment, production and jobs. The U.S. business cycle is thus now tied in … [Read more...]
Big Miners Cautiously Enjoying Higher Demand
Big mining companies like BHP, Rio Tinto, Anglo American and Glencore are enjoying the world's booming economy. Higher demand is coming for coal and metals used to produce electric cars. Stronger economic growth in the U.S., Europe and China has been the biggest catalyst to improved miner performance. The Wall Street Journal reports: The metals market has been buoyed by a rare period of synchronized economic growth in China, the U.S., Europe and major economies elsewhere. Also helping: a chilly Chinese winter that fueled coal purchases, the industry’s expectations of a global infrastructure … [Read more...]
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