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Germany Preparing for Hit from Coronavirus

February 19, 2020 By Jeremy Jones, CFA

By alexandersr @ Shutterstock.com

Myles McCormick explains in the FT that Germany, Europe’s largest economy, is preparing to take a hit from the effects of the coronavirus on China’s economy. He writes:

Investor sentiment in Germany dropped sharply in February as the effects of the coronavirus outbreak weighed on exporters, a survey revealed, adding to an increasingly gloomy picture for Europe’s biggest economy.

The Zew survey of financial market experts found that sentiment about the outlook for the German economy fell 18 points this month to a reading of 8.7. This is well below January’s score of 26.7 and significantly worse than the 21.5 economists in a Reuters poll had been expecting.

“The feared negative effects of the coronavirus epidemic in China on world trade have been causing a considerable decline of the Zew Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany,” said Achim Wambach, Zew president.

“Expectations regarding the development of the export-intensive sectors of the economy have dropped particularly sharply,” he added. “Besides, the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 saw a worse than expected development of the German economy.”

The knock to sentiment follows a spate of bad news for the economy. Germany’s manufacturing sector suffered its worst year for a decade last year, following a sharp fall in orders in December.

Read more here.

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Jeremy Jones, CFA
Jeremy Jones, CFA, CFP® is the Director of Research at Young Research & Publishing Inc., and the Chief Investment Officer at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. CNBC has ranked Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. as one of the Top 100 Financial Advisors in the nation (2019-2022) Disclosure. Jeremy is also a contributing editor of youngresearch.com.
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