Your investing future does not have to be relegated to a public transportation type of experience. You have a choice. And you can go in first class comfort or, instead, take a seat in the back of the bus. Here’s what I mean. To start, don’t spring for yesterday’s investments – stock index funds or most equities centric funds. Don’t settle for government bonds that pay virtually nothing today, or for casino-like big S&P 500 stocks that pay no dividends but often sell for criminal market cap-to-sales ratios. By now you undoubtedly realize that robo-advisors, whatever they are, offer … [Read more...]
Trump Cavalcade Drives America Back to Business
Debbie and I have traveled up the East Coast countless times over the last many decades. On every trip, we take inventory of the health of America's small-town Main Streets, pedestrian activity in towns, and truck activity on the highways, among many other inference reading signals. Last Friday we were traveling again. That day, news dropped of the record-setting job gains in May. The stock market soared, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 829.16 points. While liberal economists like Paul Krugman wrote the report off as a conspiracy theory, the evidence of America's jobs … [Read more...]
Here’s How Tiny Sweden Beat China
Tiny remote Sweden, partially sitting in the polar region, is home to only a little over 10 million souls. China, meanwhile, is a massive country, home to nearly 1.4 billion. You may not think Sweden would have the wherewithal to defeat China in any theater of competition, but in one growing industry, Sweden is prepared to dominate its Chinese rival. In the race for 5G technology leadership, Sweden’s Ericsson may be about to best China’s Huawei. Or, more accurately, Huawei’s ties to China’s Communist Party government are about to blow the technology company’s chances of a worldwide 5G … [Read more...]
Harley-Davidson in Transition, Probably a Takeover Target
Debbie and I have put over 100,000 miles on our Harleys riding across the United States and Canada. My riding days are behind me, but as a devotee, I keep an eye on Harley’s business, as I have for years. If you’re one of my long-time readers, you know Harley was Young Research’s stock of the decade in the 1990s. In June 1998, I and millions of Harley-Davidson fans celebrated the company’s 95tht anniversary. I wrote then: For about $18,000, you can be astride a classic American cruiser, the Harley-Davidson Road King—if you can get one. This summer Debbie and I will ride our Harleys … [Read more...]
An Alternative Approach to Investing when Markets are Down
In 2008, when investing seemed like an exercise in futility to many investors, I explained an alternative approach. This approach has worked for me now for over five decades. I learned this method from the teachings of Ben Graham, and have successfully employed it my entire career. Here’s what I wrote: Concentrate on Shares, Not Price... The stocks and funds you own pay you dividends based on the number of shares you own, not on the price of those shares. Unless you are fortunate enough to be Gandalf redux, it is likely that the price of most of the shares you own in 2008 is down hard, to … [Read more...]
The Fed Has a 100% Error Rate
Much like the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the coronavirus has revealed an overvalued market to investors. The blame for this overvaluation lies with a Federal Reserve that has so distorted interest rates, the view of risk has become clouded. A few years ago, I wrote: In End the Fed, Ron Paul writes, “The essence of the Federal Reserve Act was largely unchanged from when it was first hatched years earlier. With a vote by Congress, the government would confer legal legitimacy on a cartel of the largest bankers and permit them to inflate the money supply at will, providing for … [Read more...]
How to Deal with a Crisis You Can’t Predict
Do you consider yourself well-prepared? There’s no predicting some scenarios— the so-called Black Swans. Below is a troubling illustration I wrote some time ago of just how bad facing the unexpected can feel: Knock, Knock It’s 1:30 a.m.—pitch black on your suburban porch. A woman whom you do not recognize is at your front door, while an unfamiliar car idles in your driveway. Peeking out, you talk through a side window to the interloper, who explains that you had called her, and here she is. Your 1911 Handgun You, of course, had not called her, and, as a phone call goes into the police, … [Read more...]
Dividend “Suspensions” Not Dividend Cuts Coming Fast
The liberal electronic and print media will shortly be howling – with cartoon-size bold headlines – about dividend cuts. We just began the second quarter of the year. Third-quarter earnings reports will, thanks to the lying Chinese, be breathtakingly ugly. And the media will be out in full force glomming on to disruption. Words like recession and depression will fill the media channels. Greedy and grasping stockbrokers will be out, in full-scale hyena mode, yelling, "sell, sell, sell." Serious, long-term, compound interest focused mavens will follow my lead by engaging in a quiet, … [Read more...]
Working Seven Days a Week in Sunny Key West
Value, dividends, interest, and compounding have formed the foundation I have given to my investment subscribers and consulting clients since 1964. For the first time since I began following the guidance of Ben Graham back in the early 1960s, I am able today to invest in some dividend payers that would have put a smile on Ben’s face. For me and I hope for each of my longtime clients, there is much to be thankful for. There is a bright light at the end of the current long, dark tunnel. I don’t expect in my lifetime to see such values again. And I do not plan to miss one minute on the hunt … [Read more...]
My Three-Week-Long Investing Program
I am ramping it up over the month of April into May. Our Young's Dynamic Maximizers portfolio (a fixed income alternative) is actually up 2.5% YTD, or an annual annualized 7.5%. I find this performance most encouraging. My own largest fixed income holding (individual bonds, while clearly a superior option are not ideal for me as I am on the road and out of touch at annoying times) a full-faith-and-credit-pledge GNMA’s-centric fund is ahead by 3.0%, or an annualized 12.0%. I am happy with this. GLD, one of my gold proxies is ahead by 6.5%, or an annualized 26%. My Swiss currency … [Read more...]
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