Is the stock market trying to tell us something about the health of the consumer? Retail shares are plunging vs. the market. … [Read more...]
NYSE Daily New Highs Surge
The number of NYSE traded stocks with prices reaching new highs has surged since April. … [Read more...]
Lost Decade for Chinese Stocks
Over the last decade, China has been viewed as the world's economic growth engine. And rightly so if you believe the country's economic statistics. Nominal GDP has more than tripled over the last ten years. How have Chinese stock investors fared over this period? Not so well. Chinese shares have gone almost nowhere since year-end 2006 (12/31/2006 = 100 on chart). Growth ≠ Returns. … [Read more...]
Fitbit Fad has a Scary Ending for Investors
Fitbit shares have been crushed over the last year. … [Read more...]
Services Economy Still OK
Services sector of the Economy still doing OK. … [Read more...]
Rule #1 in Investing
Rule #1 in investing is don't lose money and never lose big. The chart below shows the portfolio gain needed to recover from a given loss. The hurdle gets real high the bigger your loss. A 60% loss requires a 150% gain just to get back to even. … [Read more...]
The 1st Quarter GDP Conundrum
The government's first stab at first quarter GDP growth was released today and it came in at a dismal 0.54%. That makes four first quarter GDP estimates during this expansion that have been less than 1% (two were negative). Are we looking at a bad economy or bad data? … [Read more...]
Apple Not the Same without Steve Jobs
"Go for a business that any idiot can run--because sooner or later any idiot probably is going to be running it." Peter Lynch said that. Warren Buffet has uttered similar words. Tim Cook is no idiot, but consumer electronics is a real tough business. Without the brilliant Mr. Jobs at the helm to drive innovation, Apple shares have not fared so well. … [Read more...]
Capital Goods Orders Look Toppy
New orders for capital goods, excluding aircraft have a toppy look. … [Read more...]
How Do Stocks Perform in a Presidential Election Year
The chart below shows the average performance of the S&P 500 (not including dividends) during all Presidential Election Years from 1948-2012 along with the YTD performance of the S&P 500. The horizontal scale is trading days from December 31. After a big correction to start the year, stocks are back on track with their historical Election Year performance. … [Read more...]
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