Investors waiting to pounce? Not buying it. They finally have rates they can sink their teeth into. They’re in no rush to take on more risk. At least, that’s not what they’re telling me. In The Wall Street Journal, Jack Pritcher suggests investors are looking for more risk. He writes: Stocks and bonds have surged in November. With record investor balances in money-market funds, some analysts are optimistic that they have more room to run. Everything from technology stocks to junk-rated company debt has been rising after an encouraging inflation report reinforced bets that the Federal … [Read more...]
Archives for November 2023
Payment for Gifts Is Upending Retailers
Suzanne Kapnar and Imani Moise of The Wall Street Journal report that consumers are shifting away from store credit cards as brand loyalty wanes and interest rates rise. They write: Retailers aren’t just having trouble getting shoppers to buy sweaters and other holiday items this season. Store credit cards are also a tougher sell. The cards, which typically can only be used at a particular chain, have been a lucrative source of revenue for retailers as merchandise sales have slowed. But the stream is drying up as Americans carry fewer cards and increasingly finance purchases with buy … [Read more...]
Stockpiles Running Low as Peak Shopping Demand Starts
Liz Young of The Wall Street Journal reports that a sharp pullback in stockpiles comes as merchants are trying to focus on getting a better handle on volatile consumer demand. She writes: Retailers are heading into their most crucial sales period of the year with a very different inventory strategy than they undertook in 2022. Warehouses are no longer stuffed with merchandise and store shelves aren’t spilling over with discounted goods in hopes of luring wary consumers into last-minute sales. Instead, merchants from big-box retailers like Walmart and Target to more specialized sellers … [Read more...]
A New Top Dog in the Delivery Business
Dana Mattioli and Esther Fung of The Wall Street Journal tell their readers that Amazon is eclipsing both UPS and FedEx in the delivery business, and the gap is growing. They write: The Seattle e-commerce giant delivered more packages to U.S. homes in 2022 than UPS, after eclipsing FedEx in 2020, and it is on track to widen the gap this year, according to internal Amazon data and people familiar with the matter. The U.S. Postal Service is still the biggest parcel service by volume; it handles hundreds of millions of packages for all three companies. A decade ago Amazon was a major … [Read more...]
Happy Black Friday
You know how Your Survival Guy feels about money: save a third, spend a third, pay taxes with a third. Well, today, let’s focus again on the spending. One of the best ways to keep you motivated and in the game is to take some trips every now and then. Your Survival Guy and Gal just got back from Anguilla, celebrating our 25th anniversary. It wasn’t cheap, but it had also been 25 years since we were last in the Caribbean. That’s a long time. You know there’s plenty of bucket trips you want to take. Now is the perfect time to start making it happen. Action Line: Enjoy Originally … [Read more...]
Happy Thanksgiving!
Preparing You and a Loved One for Thanksgiving
Your Survival Guy’s here to help you prepare for Thanksgiving dinner. Not with the turkey, stuffing, or desserts but with the conversation. We all know the third rails of holiday conversation: religion, politics, and money. And not in any particular order. I think politics and religion have worn everyone out and are only brought up in safe spaces like away from the kitchen when you can say how you really feel or not. But not money. Money talk is thrown all around the table like dinner rolls. “Can you believe this economy?” “I’m buying…” “Looks like interest rates higher for … [Read more...]
Ford Tapping the Brakes with Slower EV Demand
Mike Colias of The Wall Street Journal tells his readers that Ford has restarted the construction of a battery plant it paused back in September, but downsized the scope of the project. He writes: Ford Motor F 0.20%increase; green up pointing triangle is moving forward on construction of a battery plant in Michigan but at a reduced size from original plans, citing a pullback in the outlook for future electric-vehicle demand. Ford in September paused work on the factory, in Marshall, Mich. At the time, the company said it was reassessing its ability to competitively operate the plant, … [Read more...]
How Low Can Home Sales Fall?
Your Survival Guy is watching as existing home sales hit levels last seen during the aftermath of the housing crisis. According to the hopeful economists at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), sales will rise next year by 13.5%, and mortgage rates will pull back to 6% to 7% by Spring. All that remains to be seen. NAR writes: "Builders are back on their feet, up 5% in newly constructed home sales year to date," said [NAR Chief Economist Lawrence] Yun. "Builders can simply create inventory. In a housing shortage environment, builders are really benefiting." He explained NAR's … [Read more...]
“Inflation Is Killing Me,” He Said, “No It’s…”
“Inflation is killing me,” he said. “No, it’s not,” I said. “You have income coming into your account, a sizable portfolio, and yes, maybe asset prices are off, but the cash flow is solid.” The cost of everything has been up, but now deflation is certainly a risk to consider. What we worry about today often doesn’t come true tomorrow or the next day or year. May we all live long enough to be eaten alive by inflation. You’re still able to put food on the table. The key is to have a plan and stick to it. To look at your overall portfolio yield and how it did through some rough … [Read more...]
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