If you’re wondering who won the first debate look no further than to those who’ve been displaced to a country home, or are stuck in the city. The recovery matters to them like never before, and they want the Trump economy back. Good news, it’s happening in a big way, and just in time. My father-in-law, Dick Young writes of America's current economic situation: Since America has begun reducing the severity of its COVID-19-shutdown, the country has seen an incredible economic rebound. The tax and regulatory reforms put in place before the shutdown set the stage for rapid recovery. Today, … [Read more...]
Vanguard Proving Why It’s Too Big, Yet Again
Just when you think Vanguard might see the light and get back to its roots, it shows once again why it has become too big and is just like any other money-sucking behemoth--like BlackRock. Vanguard has proven this with the introduction of its own ESG investments program. In my series “You Invest, They Win,” I prove that you are not necessarily front and center, as you most certainly should be when it comes to how your money is invested. This is especially true with the new, hot, investment flavor-of-the-month, ESG. What is an ESG? It’s a marketing tool hoping to get you to feel good about … [Read more...]
Once Desolate Country Towns Now Overrun by People Trying to Escape the City
Small towns across America are dealing with something they haven't seen in a long time, population increases. For decades the United States have been urbanizing, as young people left their home towns in search of better opportunities in the nation's cities. Now, a mix of COVID-19 and riots and looting have driven them from the cities. They fled with their families to small country towns, seaside summer homes, and cabins in the mountains. In the Boston Globe, Vermont locals explain how they feel about the new influx of former city-dwellers who have turned up, filling their schools, roads, … [Read more...]
October RAGE Gauge: Stocks Down Over 33% Thrice this Century
With stocks down more than 33% three times now this century, it’s clear that investors have a short-term memory problem—forgetting how bad they felt in March 2001/2008/2020—which is why my RAGE Gauge continues to signal my highest risk level. The new normal we’re living with is a manmade China virus and manmade chaos created by blue state government. Schools are a mess as lawyers lick their chops, ready to pounce with class-action suits, and parents seethe because they want their kids in the classroom where they belong. Anecdotally, at my son’s school, a positive test (kid feels fine) means … [Read more...]
You Invest They Win, AGAIN
Let’s file this one under You Invest They Win shall we? Unprecedented monetary policy intervention by the Fed has done what all unprecedented interventions by the government do, create winners and losers. In this case, the winner is BlackRock. The Fed picked the firm to handle its corporate bond buying program. Of course, BlackRock's share of the corporate bond market grew, and the big got bigger. As one investment professional told the Wall Street Journal “The unprecedented actions taken by the Fed during Covid-19 just accelerated the trend where the biggest products get … [Read more...]
Are You Working with Sound Investment Counsel You Can Trust?
When it comes to your money, one question you must be able to answer is: Are you working with investment counsel you can trust? Are you working with a counselor who adheres to the fiduciary rule—someone who, by law, makes investment decisions that are best for you, not them? Are you working with someone who’s seen it all? Yes, stocks do crash. That at least puts you at the starting line. Next, you and your counsel need to develop trust. This comes in many ways. The idea is to get to a level where you can ask your counsel anything, knowing you’ll have an answer with the truth you deserve. … [Read more...]
One Simple Way to Help Your Finances in Times Like These
You know how hard it is to talk about money. That’s why I want you to blame Your Survival Guy when you bring up the subject with your spouse. That’s why I’m here, to help you both beat inertia and take care of your financial well-being. One easy way to do this is to start by saying, this Survival Guy feels that simply discussing money will help get us to the retirement we deserve. Use me as the ice breaker: “He says…” Grant Donnelly, assistant professor of marketing at Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, can back me up with research. He's quoted in the Wall Street Journal, … [Read more...]
It’s Never a Bad Time to Downsize Your Home
Now, more than ever may be a good reminder that it's never a bad time to downsize your home. Americans are house rich and cash poor, not a great mix in times of economic turmoil. Wealth in cash is very liquid, you can spend it on what you need when you need it. Even stocks and bonds are relatively easy to sell to generate funds. But houses, they're a lot harder to sell quickly if you want to get all the value from them you deserve. In the Wall Street Journal, Ryan Dezember explains how many house-rich but cash-poor Americans are faring today, writing: Americans with mortgages have … [Read more...]
Is Your Stock Portfolio Suffering from the Dunning Kruger Effect?
You could be suffering right now from the Dunning Kruger effect and not even know it. Worst of all, it may be affecting your stock portfolio's performance. If you are one of the recently arrived "Robinhood" investors and think you have cracked the market code, you may, in fact, be suffering from the Dunning Kruger effect. The syndrome is named after Justin Kruger and David Dunning, who outlined it in their 1999 paper in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. The authors introduced their paper by describing the effect: People tend to hold overly favorable views of their … [Read more...]
Are You Prepared? A Long, Cold Winter for Stocks is Nothing New
The stock market/Wall Street has made a full recovery from March, but it certainly doesn’t feel that way on Main Street. The 10-year treasury pays you peanuts and that’s about what local businesses have earned compared to pre-virus. Why will they stay in business, especially in cooler New England when outside dining is basically gone for the winter? Cities like Boston that depend on sports/entertainment/dining are not coming back this season. In times like these, you can be your own barber—you can handle a bad haircut—but will you be your own investment counselor … [Read more...]
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